MtGox Address Monitoring

The Mt.Gox trustee did not disclose the theft incident or related stolen addresses, nor made any comment on this matter. Moreover, the police investigation was not made public. Therefore, the lack of a public statement is not a data point (evidence). The trustee and Japanese police both know about this theft (including transaction/address info), and the courts of the US and Japan have also discussed it.

只有找到了盗币的人，对方仍然拥有私钥的前提下，才有可能强迫其归还资金。在正常情况下，比特币是不能真正被认领或Confiscated 的。尤其是在所有者不明的情况下，您需要说服网络参与者进行硬分叉来转移加密币，这种情况极不可能发生。失窃归还的条件很复杂，归还过程处理起来也很困难，这也是为什么很少听到警察或受托人谈论这类盗窃案件。

I do not "trust" it. All data sources are part of the overall forensics, which means all hypotheses have been tested and all conclusions have been carefully reviewed. I did evaluate this evidence and carefully examined all hypotheses. I believe the report I published can stand the test of time.

As stated above, I do not believe him. I have evaluated and tested his statements and everything else regarding this theft case, and found them consistent with the evidence.

Perhaps, but this is several pieces of evidence all pointing in the same direction. If we are evaluating the relative weight of the evidence, it depends on what evidence is used to measure. To my knowledge, there is only one coherent story behind these coins, and we can find all the evidence needed to support it.

Now Mt.Gox's status is civil rehabilitation. All compensation plans are negotiable, and this is handled the same way in the legal systems of the vast majority of countries. Simply put, when a company is unable or refuses to pay its debts, creditors have the right to ask the court to liquidate the company. If bankruptcy is established, all company assets are liquidated and auctioned, and the auction proceeds are distributed to the rights holders according to a certain priority order and proportion. Of course, the company itself can also file for bankruptcy, and the subsequent process is the same. Alternatively, the company can undergo civil rehabilitation, that is,convene creditors for a meeting to negotiate a corporate rehabilitation agreement that postpones or/and reduces part of the debt, and then tries to rebuild the company according to the agreement and slowly repay the money. In this process, if it is found that the original plan cannot be achieved, then of course the agreement can be renegotiated, such as postponing the repayment deadline, etc. And including the first negotiation for the initial application for rehabilitation, as well as subsequent regular negotiations, in any negotiation, creditors can oppose the rehabilitation plan. If the vote result opposes it, the company enters bankruptcy liquidation. After that, it is a normal liquidation process. So it is not that the law allows Mt.Gox to extend, but rather the law allows companies to change rehabilitation plans, and then you creditors approved the plan at the creditors' meeting. To put it bluntly, it is the creditors' problem.

There are two possible compensation schemes. If the compensation is in cryptocurrency, users will dump their holdings due to high returns, and this dumping will be relatively dispersed, with less impact on the market. However, if the compensation is in fiat currency, Mt.Gox will find it difficult to sell large amounts of Bitcoin through OTC transactions, so it can only dump on exchanges. With massive short-term selling pressure, the market cannot absorb it, and Bitcoin price is very likely to drop sharply.